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Yankees vs. Red Sox predictionYankees HAMMER Red Sox 13-6 on Aug. 6 4-1 roll with 30 DIME MLB releases 30 Dime: YANKEES on the run line (-1 1/2 runs over Boston)
Get baseball lines As we're sure you know by now, Boston has won all eight meetings in this rivalry this season and nine in a row dating to last September. However, it must be noted that seven of those nine wins came at Fenway Park (this is just the third meeting of the season at new Yankee Stadium). It also must be noted that these squads haven’t met in nearly two months, and in the interim, the Yankees have been playing some of the best baseball in the league. In fact, after getting swept in Boston from June 9-11 (the final two losses being by a single runs), New York went on to lose six of its next 10 games. But since then, the Bronx Bombers are 27-10 overall, including 14-3 at home, and 10 of those 14 home victories were by multiple runs. One of the reasons for the Yankees’ turnaround? The pitching of Joba Chamberlain. Going back to June 7, Chamberlain has made 10 starts and New York has won eight of them, with the right-hander giving up three earned runs or fewer in nine of the 10 games. Most recently, Chamberlain has been virtually unhittable, going 3-0 with a 0.83 ERA in his last three starts (two runs allowed on eight hits while striking out 19 in 21 2/3 innings. During this 10-start stretch, the Yankees are 6-1 behind Chamberlain at home (4-0 last four), and his home ERA is 3.72 over those seven games. That might not look that great, but trust me – with the way the ball flies out of new Yankee Stadium, that 3.72 ERA looks like 2.72. Granted, Chamberlain hasn’t been all that sharp in his two starts against Boston this year, giving up six runs (five earned) on 15 hits in 11 innings. However, when he faced the Sox at home on May 5, 12 of the 17 outs he recorded were via strikeout – that should tell you how dominant his stuff can be! In fact, in four career starts against Boston, Chamberlain has notched 28 strikeouts (vs. 11 walks) in 24 innings, with the Yankees going 2-2. Of course, Chamberlain isn’t the only guy who will be on the mound tonight. His counterpart is the washed-up John Smoltz. The right-hander has been a complete mess since joining Boston’s rotation in June, going 2-4 with a 7.12 ERA in seven starts. In his last three outings, he allowed 17 runs (all earned) in 16 2/3 innings (9.18 ERA), and he served up six home runs in those three games. That last stat is very disturbing considering Smoltz is facing the team that’s hit the second most home runs this year in a ballpark that’s been a launching pad since the day it opened. NOTE: The Yankees hit two home runs off Smoltz and four homers in all! Bottom line: As far as we're concerned, you can totally disregard Boston’s 9-0 run against the Yankees. Why? Because these are two completely different clubs than they were when they last met two months ago. Also, the Red Sox’s two best pitchers – Jon Lester and Josh Beckett – started five of Boston’s eight wins over New York this season. Finally, after losing in Tampa Bay the last two days, the Red Sox are now just 2-9 in their last 11 games against clubs near or above .500 (Tampa Bay, Texas, Toronto and Seattle). Put it another way, 12 of their last 13 wins have come against Baltimore, Kansas City and Oakland – the three last-place teams in the American League who are a combined 54 games under .500! Throw in the fact that the Yankees are on runs of 17-4 against right-handed starters, 7-1 against A.L. East foes and 14-3 in Chamberlain’s last 17 home starts, and we're ALL OVER the Bombers tonight. Lay the 1½ runs and watch the Yanks pummel Smoltz and give their fans a blowout win of at least four runs! NOTE: Smoltz gave up 8 runs in just 3 1/3 innings RESULT: New York 13, Boston 6
Click here for the complete list of Michael Vick props. How will Michael Vick fare in Philly?.AFC North PreviewThe Steelers swept their three division rivals a year ago en route to their record sixth Super Bowl title. Pittsburgh allowed the fewest points in the NFL, and that dominating defense will allow it to keep the Steel Crew at the top of the heap, despite a mediocre offense. Head coach John Harbaugh has Baltimore moving in the right direction, and young quarterback Joe Flacco proved his mettle by leading the Ravens to two playoff victories on the road. Cincinnati finished an ugly campaign on a high note by winning its final three games, but can Carson Palmer and Chad Ochocinco play nice together? It won’t matter unless the defense can step it up a notch. Cleveland has a new coach in former Jets sideline boss Eric Mangini, but the same problems remain. The Browns rushed for just six touchdowns last year, and Derek Anderson and Brady Quinn will be battling for the starting quarterback job all summer long. Click to view Sportsbook.com’s Predicted Order of Finish or read the rest of the AFC North Preview
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