- November 4: 500♦ Toledo - Loss
- November 3: 500♦ Wofford - Loss
- November 2: 800♦ Detroit Pistons - WIN
- November 1: 500♦ Denver Broncos - WIN
- October 31: 1500♦ Arkansas - Loss
- October 30: 400♦ Dallas Mavericks - WIN
- October 29: 1000♦ James Madison - Loss
- October 28: 400♦ Dallas Mavericks - WIN
- October 27: 400♦ Western Kentucky - Loss
- October 26: 500♦ Tampa Bay Rays (-129) - Loss
- October 25: 1000♦ Seattle Seahawks - WIN
- October 24: 1500♦ Arizona - WIN
- October 23: 1000♦ Connecticut - WIN
- October 22: 1000♦ Liberty - WIN
- October 21: 500♦ Sam Houston St - Loss
- October 20: 1000♦ Delaware - WIN
- October 19: 400♦ San Francisco 49ers - Loss
- October 18: 500♦ Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Loss
- October 17: 1500♦ Georgia Tech - Loss
- October 16: 500♦ Purdue - Loss
- October 15: 1000♦ UAB - WIN
- October 14: 500♦ Western Kentucky - WIN
- October 13: 500♦ Jacksonville St - PUSH
- October 12: 400♦ Tampa Bay Rays (+130 RL) - Loss
- October 11: 500♦ Houston Texans - WIN
- October 10: 2000♦ Penn State - Loss
- October 9: 400♦ Washington - Loss
- October 8: 1000♦ Liberty - WIN
- October 7: 500♦ Jacksonville St - Loss
- October 6: 500♦ Atlanta Braves (-105) - Loss
- October 5: 400♦ Atlanta Falcons - WIN
- October 4: 500♦ Minnesota Vikings - Loss
- October 3: 1500♦ Kansas - WIN
- October 2: 500♦ Pitt - WIN
- October 1: 1000♦ Tulsa - WIN
- September 30: 400♦ Philadelphia Phillies - WIN
- September 29: 400♦ Atlanta Braves (+110 RL) - WIN
- September 28: 400♦ Chicago Bears - WIN
- September 27: 1000♦ New Orleans Saints - Loss
- September 26: 1500♦ Appalachian State - WIN
- September 25: 500♦ Northwestern - WIN
- September 24: 1000♦ Liberty - WIN
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Everyone should be on the same page for each new campaign and how to approach each season.
You first must understand the Kelly Criterion, sometimes referred to as the Kelly formula; it's a blueprint I like to use to maximize the long-term growth rate of our bankroll, using repeated gambles of the variety of ratings I give out.
That criterion says an aggressive gambler should wager a set percentage of his bankroll, pertaining to the advantage (or rating system in this case) he feels he has over the game itself.
For those of you who play blackjack when visiting casinos, you may do the same thing in determining there is a one percent advantage over the dealer, and wager 1 percent of the total bankroll.
The key thing to remember is determining the percentage your using, and the maximum you'd be willing to risk on the top rating you will find here, which is the 1,000♦ Power Play.
On a daily basis you will find my plays ranging from from 100♦ and 1,000♦, but well within percentages you can effectively spread your wagers. When you do see the rating system on plays upgraded to a higher level, I will always talk about managing the bankroll accordingly.
Remember, a 1,000♦ play does not indicate a specific amount for everyone in general, it means if you're absolute biggest play you're willing to make is a nickel - that is your gauge with this rating system.
You need only divide accordingly from your absolute maximum amount into whatever the rating is, based on 1,000♦ being the highest rating.
Overall, you will find that I like to keep it consistent day-to-day so you know exactly when I'm stepping out on a big play.
Please follow these ratings accordingly.
IMPORTANT NOTE:
The occasional 2,000♦, 3,000♦ or BLANK CHECK releases are games I feel are extreme value for the price, or in Kelly Criterion theory - is more of an advantage over the book.
I have always personally played a Blank Check game FIVE TIMES THE SIZE of my regular maximum bet. So, for example, on day I am releasing a Blank Check Winner, one 1,000♦ play and three 200♦ picks, a player with a maximum wager of $500 would wager the following:
Blank Check play - $2,500
1,000♦ Plays - $500
200♦ Plays - $100 each
With the vig, you would have a total of $3,630 in action.
Hope this helps in regards to money management!
Week Nine of the NFL season opens tonight in Charm City with a game between the Jaguars and the Ravens, and it is a game that will hold Under the posted price thanks to Baltimore’s quarterback situation.
Lamar Jackson is on injured reserve, Tyler Huntley is dealing with a toe injury, and rookie Joe Fagnano is set to make his first NFL start despite an ankle issue. Fagnano completed just 10 of 21 passes for 91 yards with an interception against Buffalo. Baltimore has also scored only 11 points per game over its last three contests, a troubling offensive trend heading into a short-week matchup.
The Jacksonville defense provides another reason to expect a lower-scoring game. The Jaguars are allowing just 15.9 points per contest, and they have recorded nine interceptions, tied for the third-most in the league.
The Jags have played Over the total in their last pair of games, but their previous four had all landed Under the total, as they are on a 4-2 Under run for their last six games overall.
The Ravens have played two of their last three games Under the total, and have also landed Under the posted price in two of their last three home games.
Primetime numbers also support at lower-scoring contest, as six of the last nine primetime games have landed Under the total, including each of the past three Thursday night contests.
Go Low in Baltimore on Thursday night.